F1 Mexico Grand Prix Prediction and Odds 2023

Please note, this prediction is now outdated and will be updated for 2024 shortly. For a list of all up-to-date picks and tips for upcoming races, visit our F1 Grand Prix Predictions.

The 2023 F1 Mexico Grand Prix could mark one of the last editions we’ll see of this race, with the contract set to expire in 2025. But then again, given the races on-again, off-again history, 2023 could just be another race in a long history of F1 GP racing in Mexico City.

In either case, one thing we do know is that we’re in for another exciting round of racing when the F1 Grand Prix takes to the skies at the high-altitude, high-speed Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez circuit.

No doubt, Max Verstappen will be more than likely to walk away as the race winner when all is said and done. But as for who’s tipped to come in behind him (or first should a stroke of bad luck hit Verstappen), that’s maybe not so clear cut.

So let’s take a closer look at what we can expect in this 2023 F1 Mexico Grand Prix prediction to see which drivers and constructors will do well.

2023 F1 Mexico GP Information and Analysis

F1 Mexico Grand Prix Prediction Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez Course Details

The 2023 F1 Mexico Grand Prix is set to be held at its historic home, the Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez circuit, where it was first held in 1962.

What really sets this course apart from others on the F1 predictions calendar is, of course, it’s high altitude. With an elevation of 2,238 m (7,342 ft), the thin air not only affects drivers physically, but also has a major impact on air resistance and downforce, dramatically altering car dynamics.

Of course, for all the reductions in downforce, we also see big reductions in drag, making this a course where top speeds in the range of 370km/h have been seen previously. With that said, the current generation of cars does come up a little short here — 2022’s top speed, set by Michael Schumacher down the 1.2km front straight, was “just” 352km/h.

Besides thin air and high speeds, the other major strategic factor at the Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez is without a doubt the infamous Peraltada corner which tragically took the life of Ricardo Rodriguez.

The Peraltada corner, roughly parabolic in shape, is especially important owing to its slightly banked design. This can see drivers taking it at utterly ridiculous speeds given its radius, creating a high-stakes scenario that usually plays a major role in setting up overtaking maneuvers.

2023 F1 Mexico Grand Prix Odds to Win — Who to Watch

Current favorite, Max Verstappen, also happens to hold the record at the F1 Mexico GP, with 4 wins to his name (2017, 2018, 2021, 2022).

Lewis Hamilton Odds

Second only to Max Verstappen in recent years at the F1 Mexico Grand Prix, Hamilton has followed up his 2019 win with two second-placed podiums in 2021 and 2022. Expect a repeat in 2023.

Sergio Perez Betting Tips

Sergio has been having a solid season and has clearly shown some form. He’s also finished the last two editions of the F1 Mexico City GP on the podium, nabbing third place in both 2021 and 2022.

Carlos Sainz Prediction

Carlos has performed well at Mexico City in the past. In 2019, he scraped in mid-pack. In 2021, he finished 6th. And last year, he was just shy of the podium in fifth place. Given this upward trajectory, there’s every chance Sainz could go better this year.

Max Verstappen Win Probability

We know you’ll be watching Max Verstappen at the 2023 F1 Mexico City Grand Prix. Everyone will be.

Upcoming F1 Race Schedule

Before we get to our F1 Mexico GP prediction, don’t forget to also check out the upcoming F1 Brazil Grand Prix Prediction that follows hot on the heels of this race.

Also, for more chances to win, be sure to check out our full list of betting picks and tips.

Prediction F1 Mexico Grand Prix 2023

The prediction for the F1 Mexico Grand Prix 2023 is as follows:

• Max Verstappen: Can anyone stop him?
• Sergio Perez: Perez is performing better than ever. Expect him to do one better than his 2022 and 2021 third-place finishes.
• Lewis Hamilton: Hamilton has been so consistent at Mexico, but he’s not quite at the peak he once was. Still, we expect to see him in third.

For constructors, we obviously expect Red Bull to lead the pack with Verstappen and Perez, followed by Mercedes and Ferrari.

Hit the Bet Now button to place your bets on the 2023 F1 Mexico Grand Prix. 

Odds Analysis and Previous Match History