F1 Japan Grand Prix Odds and Predictions 2024

Please note, this prediction is now outdated and will be updated for 2025 shortly. For a list of all up-to-date picks and tips for upcoming races, visit our F1 Grand Prix Predictions.

Traditionally, the Japan Grand Prix has taken place towards the end of the season. But for the 2024 F1 Japan GP, it’s jumping right up the calendar into the first weekend of April, making it the fourth race of the year.

As for whether this will change anything, that remains to be seen. We do know for a fact that the weather will be very different. We also know that some teams and their cars could still be sorting themselves out — Mercedes, for one, has seen its “complete relaunch of the car” go not quite as well as they might have expected. So either there are teething problems, or it’s an inferior platform. And that’s a question we might not fully answer before they take to Suzuka for the F1 2024 Japan Grand Prix.

In any case, we also know that Verstappen looks like he’s shaping up to carry his dominating 2023 performance forward into the 2024 F1 odds and race predictions. And that probably won’t change no matter what the cars, tracks, and weather throw at him.

With that said, nothing’s a sure thing until it’s done. And that means the Japan Grand Prix 2024 will be a great race to watch that could easily throw out an upset or two. Especially given that the race is set to take place at the notorious Suzuka circuit, which has a well-earned reputation as one of the most challenging tracks in Formula One.

So let’s take a closer look at what we should expect from the 2024 F1 Japan Grand Prix.

2024 F1 Japanese GP Information and Analysis

F1 Japan Grand Prix Prediction Suzuka Course Details

The 2024 F1 Japan GP will be held at the Suzuka International Racing Circuit, located 150 km east of Osaka. This circuit is a unique one on the F1 GP calendar, with its unique figure-eightish shape featuring a bridge where racers fly over the track below.

As for the race itself, that will take place over 53x 5.807-kilometer-long (about 3.6 miles) laps for a total of just over 307km (about 190 miles). 

Its tight layout and sometimes dangerous corners combined with faster sections are loved by drivers. This combination of speed and technicality makes it one of the more complete tests of a driver’s skills.

With that said, one thing making it easier on drivers this year could be the slightly more predictable weather conditions. Being held in early Spring as opposed to the early Autumn scheduling in 2023, the 2024 F1 Japan GP will likely see temperatures averaging as much as 10°C/50°F cooler. There will also be much less of a threat of any serious rain. For comparison, Suzuka sees an average rainfall of 239mm/9.4 inches in September, whereas it only sees 137mm/5.4 inches in April.

2024 F1 Japan Grand Prix Odds to Win — Who to Watch

In the recent few years, winners at the F1 Japan GP include Max Verstappen for Red Bull (2023, 2022), Valtteri Bottas, and Lewis Hamilton (2018, 2017, 2015, 2014), whose near-five-year winning streak at the circuit was only broken by Nico Rosberg in 2017.

Sergio Perez Odds

Sergio finished last year’s driver’s championship in 2nd. And that’s the exact result he delivered at the 2024 F1 opener. Ultimately, he’s fully capable of delivering consistently good results, even if he’s always the bridesmaid and never the bride.

Lewis Hamilton Betting Tips

As we’ve already covered, Hamilton has had serial success here. And with his consistent performance combined with Mercedes’s promises for big things from their 2024 redesign, Hamilton could finish dangerously close to the podium, if not on it.

Max Verstappen Prediction

Not much needs to be said here. Over the last couple of years, Max can count the number of races he hasn’t won using nothing but the fingers on his hands. Odds are, he won’t be looking to change that in 2024.

Lando Norris

In recent times, Norris has been showing signs that he’s on an upward trajectory. Whether that’s a sure sign we’ll be seeing him landing on the podium more often remains to be seen. But we’re predicting it is.

Charles LeClerc

LeClerc has already shown he has what it takes to deliver at Suzuka, delivering a third-place result in 2022 and narrowly missing the podium with a 4th in 2023.

Prediction for F1 Japan Grand Prix 2024

The prediction for the F1 Japan Grand Prix 2024 is as follows:

• Max Verstappen: Verstappen’s results are best summarized as “he basically wins every race.” We see no reason that’s about to change.
• Sergio Perez: Much like Verstappen, there’s not much need to make the case for why Perez will finish on the podium. Just don’t expect him to win.
• Lewis Hamilton: Given a competitive car, Hamilton has a lot of potential to deliver some solid results in 2024. If Mercedes delivers, don’t be surprised to see him on the podium.

As for the constructor’s championship, all eyes remain firmly fixed on Red Bull, with Mercedes and Ferrari coming in a distant second and third.

Hit the Bet Now button to place your bets on the 2024 F1 Japan Grand Prix. 

Upcoming 2024 F1 Race Predictions

Following hot on the heels of the 2024 Japan Grand Prix, the F1 heads over to China in two weeks for the F1 China Grand Prix. Set to go down on April 21, you can find our full 2024 China F1 GP prediction here.

Odds Analysis and Previous Match History