F1 Japan Grand Prix Odds and Predictions 2025

Please note, this prediction is now outdated and will be updated for 2025 shortly. For a list of all up-to-date picks and tips for upcoming races, visit our F1 Grand Prix Predictions.

Traditionally, the Japan Grand Prix has taken place towards the end of the season. But for the second year in a row, the 2025 F1 Japan GP is jumping right up the calendar into early April, making it the fourth race of the year.

As for whether this has had a big impact, that remains to be seen. We do know for a fact that the weather will be very different to historical F1 Japan races. We also know that some teams and their cars could still be sorting themselves out as they iron out early season teething problems. And that’s a question we might not fully answer before they take to Suzuka for the F1 2025 Japan Grand Prix.

In any case, we also know that Verstappen looks like he’s shaping up to carry his championship-winning performances forward into the 2025 F1 odds and race predictions. And that probably won’t change no matter what the cars, tracks, and weather throw at him, although he’s certainly got a few more challengers this time around.

With that said, nothing’s a sure thing until it’s done. And that means the Japan Grand Prix 2025 will be a great race to watch that could easily throw out an upset or two. Especially given that the race is set to take place at the notorious Suzuka circuit, which has a well-earned reputation as one of the most challenging tracks in Formula One.

So let’s take a closer look at what we should expect from the 2025 F1 Japan Grand Prix.

2025 F1 Japanese GP Information and Analysis

F1 Japan Grand Prix Prediction Suzuka Course Details

The 2025 F1 Japan GP will be held at the Suzuka International Racing Circuit, located 150 km east of Osaka. This circuit is a unique one on the F1 GP calendar, with its unique figure-eightish shape featuring a bridge where racers fly over the track below.

As for the race itself, that will take place over 53x 5.807-kilometer-long (about 3.6 miles) laps for a total of just over 307km (about 190 miles). 

Its tight layout and sometimes dangerous corners combined with faster sections are loved by drivers. This combination of speed and technicality makes it one of the more complete tests of a driver’s skills.

With that said, one thing making it easier on drivers this year could be the slightly more predictable weather conditions. Being held in early Spring as opposed to the early Autumn scheduling we’re used to, the 2025 F1 Japan GP will likely see temperatures averaging as much as 10°C/50°F cooler than historical averages. There will also be much less of a threat of any serious rain. For comparison, Suzuka sees an average rainfall of 239mm/9.4 inches in September, whereas it only sees 137mm/5.4 inches in April.

2025 F1 Japan Grand Prix Odds to Win — Who to Watch

In the recent few years, winners at the F1 Japan GP include Max Verstappen for Red Bull (2024, 2023, and 2022), Valtteri Bottas, and Lewis Hamilton (2018, 2017, 2015, 2014), whose near-five-year winning streak at the circuit was only broken by Nico Rosberg in 2017.

But that’s all ancient history. The real question is, who should we be watching this year?

Lando Norris Prediction

In recent times, Norris has been showing signs that he’s on a strong upward trajectory, with his results last season speaking volumes. Now, he’s leading McLaren’s resurgence with an aggressive but calculated driving style that’s giving the old guard a real run for their money.

Lewis Hamilton Betting Tips

Hamilton has had some serial success here, although that’s now well and truly in the past. What will be interesting here is whether his transition to Ferrari after spending most of his career with Mercedes will be enough to revitalize his former self.

Max Verstappen Odds

Not much needs to be said here that hasn’t already been said a million times over. Over the last few of years, Max has come to stand out as one of the all time greats in F1 racing. And odds are, that won’t be changing too dramatically in the 2025 F1 Japan Grand Prix, even if he does have a new hot shot snapping at his heels.

Oscar Piastri Podium Chances

As Norris’s teammate at McLaren, we probably shouldn’t be expecting Piastri to be challenging for first place at the 2025 F1 Japan Grand Prix. But, with that said, it’s hard to ignore his impressive performances in recent times that have helped to cement his team’s position as one of the powerhouses in the sport.

Charles LeClerc Win Probability

LeClerc has already shown he has what it takes to deliver at Suzuka. delivering a third-place result in 2022 and narrowly missing the podium with a 4th in 2023 and 2024. So it will be interesting to see whether Leclerc can harness his raw speed and determination to finally get back on the podium at the 2025 F1 Japan Grand Prix after two back-to-back near misses.

Upcoming 2025 F1 Race Predictions

Following hot on the heels of the 2025 Japan Grand Prix, the F1 heads over to Bahrain. Set to go down on April 13, you can find our full 2025 Bahrain F1 GP prediction here.

Prediction for F1 Japan Grand Prix 2025

The prediction for the F1 Japan Grand Prix 2025 is as follows:

• Lando Norris (McLaren): Norris has shown consistent driving performance recently. Add in his team’s growing strength and he’s looking like a hot contender to take the chequered flag. ​

• Charles Leclerc (Ferrari): Leclerc is expected to mount a serious challenge for the podium at the 2025 F1 Japan Grand Prix where he’ll be leveraging Ferrari’s improvements to extract maximum performance.​

• Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing): Verstappen’s skill is undeniable, but with team changes and a downturn in his performance, we’re not quite sure if he’ll be able to take first position.

Hit the Bet Now button to place your bets on the 2025 F1 Japan Grand Prix. 

Odds Analysis and Previous Match History