F1 China Grand Prix Prediction and Odds, Shanghai 2024

Please note, this prediction is now outdated and will be updated for 2025 shortly. For a list of all up-to-date picks and tips for upcoming races, visit our F1 Grand Prix Predictions.

2024 looks set to be an exciting year in Formula One motor racing that will surely be full of thrills and spills as drivers and constructors battle it out to see who will come out on top.

And no doubt, much of the focus will be on the top drivers. After all, we have great expectations around Red Bull’s Max Verstappen, who’s shown some of the best form of his entire career all throughout the 2023 season. And then there’s that other youngster from Ferrari, Charles LeClerc, who’s eager to step up and stake his claim as one of the best in the industry.

Then we also have Lewis Hamilton, who will be looking to put the disappointment of 2023 behind him and do everything in his power to make history by becoming the first driver in F1 history to win 8 Drivers’ Championships. But will he be held back by Mercedes?

But beyond the ups and downs of drive battles, the 2024 season is also exciting because it’s the year when, all being well, F1 returns to China.

F1 China Grand Prix Information, Analysis

F1 China Returns

The F1 China Grand Prix first took place in 2004 and has been held 16 times. It was last held here in 2019, after which it was put on hold due to China’s Zero-Covid policy.

It was supposed to resume in 2023 on the Shanghai International Circuit, which would have been the first time the event had been held here since 2019. However, with China’s strict Covid policies, the race was again cancelled.

It is now scheduled to take place on April 19-21, with the main event scheduled for Sunday, April 21, and is one of the most eagerly anticipated events in the F1 calendar for 2024.

About the Shanghai International Circuit

The Shanghai International Circuit cost $450 million to complete and, at the time, was the world’s most expensive circuit. In 2009 however, Abu Dhabi shattered this record when it constructed the Yas Marina Circuit, which cost a staggering $1.132 Billion.

As for the Shanghai track itself, this is a hugely popular track with sprint race fans as it provides excellent opportunities for drivers to overtake. The race length is 189.599 miles (305.066 km), with a circuit length of 3.387 miles (5.451 km).

Lewis Hamilton has enjoyed great success here over the years, having won the event six times for Mercedes.

F1 China Grand Prix Conditions

Assuming the 2024 F1 China Grand Prix does indeed go ahead (more on that shortly), what can fans and drivers expect in terms of conditions?

As we always say, we can’t predict the weather and see into the future, so we can’t know for sure what the weather will be like on the day of the F1 China Grand Prix. We can, however, take an educated guess.

Unlike many of the other early F1 events taking place early in the season, the weather for this event could be much more unpredictable.

At this time of year, Shanghai is prone to fog, mist, and rain, so there is always a chance of disruption. Despite this, conditions are generally dry and settled, though it will likely be cloudy and overcast.

Temperatures can vary, though, and the maximum temperature during qualifying and the race itself will likely be between 18c and 21c.

2024 F1 China Grand Prix Odds to Win — Who to watch

These are the drivers worth keeping an eye on for the 2024 F1 China Grand Prix.

Lewis Hamilton

Lewis Hamilton and Mercedes have both enjoyed great success in China in the past, and the circuit most certainly suits his driving style.

The last time the event was held in China, Hamilton picked up the win. He has also won this Grand Prix more times than any other driver (6) and will be eager to make it 7, and pick up the points to nudge him closer to a place in the record books.

With that said, his current car at Mercedes seems to be set to deliver another year of disappointment, and his recent signing with Ferrari doesn’t exactly give us much confidence.

Zhou Guanyu

Zhou Guanyu is the first Chinese F1 driver in the sport’s history. He now wants to make history by returning home to become the first Chinese F1 driver to compete at the F1 China Grand Prix.

While the Stake team driver will likely not be expected to challenge for pole position and a podium finish, it will be nice to see the reception he gets when he returns home. Having the hometown advantage will also likely spur him on.

Sergio Perez

While we shouldn’t expect Perez to go against team orders and fight for the number one spot, we should still expect to see him on the podium. He’s really second-only to Verstappen in the current F1 lineup.

Will the F1 China Grand Prix Be Cancelled Again?

At the moment, the 2024 Chinese F1 Grand Prix is full steam ahead. And unlike with 2023’s edition, China’s Zero-Covid policy seems to have softened significantly since then. That makes the risk of cancellation at this stage highly unlikely.

However, Shanghai has been in and out of lockdown numerous times, and if an outbreak of Covid-19 is recorded, it wouldn’t be a shock if the Chinese Grand Prix was suspended for yet another year.

Upcoming F1 Race Schedule

Before we get to our F1 China GP prediction, don’t forget to also check out the upcoming F1 Miami Grand Prix Prediction that follows hot on the heels of this race.

Also, for more chances to win, be sure to check out our full list of betting picks and tips.

Predictions for F1 2024 China Grand Prix

The prediction for the F1 China Grand Prix 2024 is as follows:

• Max Verstappen: Until Max Verstappen us a reason to doubt him, he’ll always be our #1.
• Sergio Perez: Perez has been dangerously consistent, and will almost definitely feature on the podium.
• Charles LeClerc: LeClerc has shown he has the goods to deliver a podium in China.

For the constructor battle, we’re looking to Red Bull first, and a coin toss for Ferrari or Mercedes in second and third.

Hit the Bet Now button to place your bets on the 2024 F1 China Grand Prix.

Upcoming 2024 F1 Race Predictions

Following hot on the heels of the 2024 China Grand Prix, the F1 heads over to the USA in two weeks for the F1 Miami Grand Prix. Set to go down on May 5, you can find our full 2024 Miami F1 GP prediction here.

Odds Analysis and Previous Match History