F1 Bahrain Grand Prix Prediction and Odds, Sakhir 2024

Please note, this prediction is now outdated and will be updated for 2025 shortly. For a list of all up-to-date picks and tips for upcoming races, visit our F1 Grand Prix Predictions.

Without question, the F1 Bahrain Grand Prix, also known as the Gulf Air Bahrain Grand Prix, is one of the most eagerly anticipated Grand Prix events early on in the season. Traditionally the 3rd Grand Prix of the Formula 1 season. However, the F1 Bahrain Grand Prix has occasionally been the opener, as it is for 2024.

This event has taken place 19 times in total and has seen Lewis Hamilton pick up the most wins for drivers with 5, and Ferrari pick up the most wins for Constructors, with 7.

Last year’s winner, Max Verstappen, will be looking to repeat history. However, some questions have been raised among pundits about whether Verstappen will be able to maintain his dominance in 2024.

Here’s a look at what we can expect from the F1 Bahrain 2024 Grand Prix.

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Bahrain F1 Grand Prix Predictions, Course Details, and Drivers

F1 Bahrain Grand Prix Prediction Sakhir Course Details

The F1 Bahrain Grand Prix will take place on March 2 at the Bahrain International Circuit.

Held in Sakhir at the Bahrain International Circuit, this event made history back in 2004 when it became the first F1 Grand Prix to be held in the Middle East. It consists of 57 laps, stretching for 308.288 km (191.530 miles) in total. Each circuit is 5.412 km.

While we can’t predict the future, going from experience and Bahrain’s climate in general, it’s pretty safe to bet on dry conditions, warm sunshine, and moderate northerly winds. As far as potential hazards go, strong winds always threaten to whip up some sand, which can make conditions testing out on the track. On the other hand, there will be an incredibly low risk of rain.

Temperatures at this time of year range from 17C – 27C on average. We’d expect temps of 23C – 24C, though we’ll really only find out on the day.

2024 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix Odds to Win — Who to Watch

With this being the first race for the 2024 season, there are a lot of unknowns we’re just going to have to wait and see, like how manufacturer car improvements pan out.

But, with that said, there’s already a lot we can take away from last year’s F1 season. And that means it’s already a safe bet to put Verstappen down as the #1 favorite for taking the top spot at the F1 Bahrain Grand Prix.

However, nothing’s certain, and there are certainly plenty of challengers that will be snapping at Versappen’s heels, including a few rising stars. So let’s take a closer look at our F1 Bahrain GP predictions.

Max Verstappen Odds

Not much needs to be said here. Verstappen dominated 2023 in such a major way the odds appear stacked against anyone else — at least for the early season.

Sergio Perez Betting Tips

While the odds for the Driver’s Championship don’t look great for Perez in 2024, we still shouldn’t dismiss him. Throughout 2023, he placed on the podium reasonably consistently, and end-of-contract pressure this year might just be the motivation he needs to step it up.

Lando Norris Prediction

Lando Norris is the new rising star of F1 and is currently the second favorite for the 2024 driver’s championship. If he can continue his upward trajectory, we should expect to see him beat his career-best 2023 performance of 7 podium finishes. The 2024 Bahrain GP might well be his first for 2024.

Lewis Hamilton Win Probability

While Lewis Hamilton’s 2023 season was a far cry from his heyday, much of that can be attributed to the car he was driving more so than any lack of form. If Mercedes’s ambitious W15 program pays off, there’s a chance Hamilton could come back in a big way.

Upcoming F1 Race Schedule

Before we get to our F1 Bahrain GP prediction, don’t forget to also check out the upcoming F1 Saudi Arabia Grand Prix Prediction that follows hot on the heels of this race.

Also, for more chances to win, be sure to check out our full list of betting picks and tips.

Prediction for F1 Bahrain Grand Prix 2024

The prediction for the F1 Bahrain Grand Prix 2024 is as follows:

  • Max Verstappen: Again, there’s no reason to expect anything else in 2024.
  • Lewis Hamilton: If Mercedes gets its act together, Hamilton should hit the podium.
  • Sergio Perez: Perez has the ambition and the skills to do well in 2024, starting with Bahrain.

In terms of constructors, look to Red Bull, Mercedes, and McLaren.

Hit the Bet Now button to place your bets on the 2024 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix

Odds Analysis and Previous Match History

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