F1 Australia Grand Prix Prediction and Odds, Melbourne 2024

Please note, this prediction is now outdated and will be updated for 2025 shortly. For a list of all up-to-date picks and tips for upcoming races, visit our F1 Grand Prix Predictions.

First held back in 1928 at Phillip Island, the F1 Australia Grand Prix is one of Australia’s oldest surviving Formula One events. The course has had 23 venues as of this writing, and, since 1985, has been a part of the F1 World Championship circuit.

Today, the F1 Australia Grand Prix’s current venue is the Albert Park Circuit, located just a stone’s throw away from the Melbourne CBD. And while the venue might have changed over the years, there’s one thing that hasn’t — The F1 Australia Grand Prix never fails to excite.

Last year, we saw an epic three-way battle between Red Bull, Mercedes, and Aston Martin, with just 0.769 seconds between first-placed Verstappen and third-placed Alonso. Lewis Hamilton, racing for Mercedes slotted into second place just 0.179 seconds off the pace.

With the 2024 edition taking place early in the season on March 24, what can fans expect at the F1 Australia Grand Prix 2024?

Australian F1 Grand Prix - Driver Predictions and Course Details

F1 Australia Grand Prix Prediction Melbourne Course Details

The Albert Park course is renowned as a fast-paced circuit that’s relatively easy on the drivers, with consistent corner placement helping drivers quickly internalize the layout quickly. With that said, the track also features flat terrain with little in the way of straights for overtaking opportunities.

As for the condition, of course, we’ll never know the exact conditions until the day of the race. But we can use seasonal averages in Melbourne as a decent indicator of what to expect.

Melbourne in April is generally warm and dry, though there is always a fairly high risk of rain. However, if rain does occur, it will likely be in the form of a brief shower rather than persistent rain. Temperatures are usually around 21C by day, and 12C by night, so it can actually get on the chilly side when the sun sets.

2024 F1 Australia Grand Prix Odds to Win — Who to Watch

While some names in F1 are always worth keeping an eye on, there are others who seem to thrive in certain conditions and on certain circuits.

Here are the drivers we believe are worth keeping an eye on at the F1 Australia Grand Prix.

Max Verstappen Odds

While he only just scraped in for the win at Albert Park last year, Verstappen then went on to dominate the 2023 F1 calendar. Chances are, we will see the same this year, with Verstappen being the main contender to take victory at the 2024 F1 Australia Grand Prix.

Lewis Hamilton Betting Tips

Lewis Hamilton narrowly missed out on the win last year as he posted the first of just six podium finishes for the year. This year, we expect to see him do better overall, meaning he’ll still be a real threat for the podium at Albert Park.

Lando Norris Prediction

Lando Norris is on the rise, and many expect great things from him in 2024. We should expect to see him outdo his sixth-place finish from last year and, at the very least, threaten for the podium at the 2024 F1 Australia GP.

Sergio Perez Win Probability

After a pit lane start last year, Perez managed to claw his way back through the pack to finish in fifth place. Along the way, he also managed to post the fastest lap of the day, clocking in at an average speed of 236.814 km/h. A similar performance at the 2024 F1 Australia race combined with a better position on the starting grid could make him a dangerous contender.

Upcoming F1 Race Schedule

Before we get to our F1 Australia GP prediction, don’t forget to also check out the upcoming F1 Japan Grand Prix Prediction that follows hot on the heels of this race.

Also, for more chances to win, be sure to check out our full list of betting picks and tips.

Prediction for F1 Australia Grand Prix 2024

The prediction for the F1 Australia Grand Prix 2024 is as follows:

• Max Verstappen: Let’s face it, Max Verstappen will be hard to beat.
• Sergio Perez: Perez has all the elements to be dangerous here and should make the podium.
• Lewis Hamilton: Lewis Hamilton will be a real threat at Albert Park and should just make the podium.

For the constructor battle, we’ll be looking to Red Bull first, with Mercedes and Ferrari battling for the scraps.

Hit the Bet Now button to place your bets on the 2024 F1 Australia Grand Prix. 

Odds Analysis and Previous Match History